stever20 wrote:here's the problem of the gloom and doom....
2011-
ESPN with 100 million subscribers. charged 4.69 per subscriber per month. so for the year 56.28 per subscriber. So 5.628 billion dollars in subscriber revenue.
2017
ESPN with 88 million subscribers. charging 7.21 per subscriber per month. so for the year 86.52 per subscriber. So 7.614 billion dollars in subscriber revenue.
So getting almost 2 billion more in subscriber revenue from 6 years ago.
Savannah Jay wrote:
And what has happened to ESPN's rights fees in that same time? You know, when running a business you can't just soil yourself over revenue increases because most businesses (okay, all businesses) have expenses, too. So while you are educating us on (fill in the blank...because we always learn from the Stever), Disney CEO Igor is having to respond to his board and analysts about the future of ESPN. Why is that, if revenue is up so much?
As has been pointed out (but you ignore everything that doesn't fit your narrative):
1. ESPN is committed to about $7.3 billion in televised rights fees this year. As they have been leaking subscribers, they have been spending more and more on rights fees. If the subscriber loss trend continues (about 786,000 folks cut the cable in the first quarter this year), there is a reasonable chance that ESPN will be paying more for rights fees than it is getting in cable subscription dollars. This is a significant departure from 2011.
2. Of the 87 million subscribers, about half never watch ESPN.
3. As cord cutting continues and viewers opt for "ala carte" choices, half of the subscribers are "vulnerable" because, if given a choice, they would not choose to pay the $7 a month for a channel they don't watch.
4. ESPN has plenty of resources but even they recognize that their business model needs to change because the landscape of sports broadcasting is changing.
I don't believe I've read any poster suggest ESPN's demise is imminent. However, ESPN being the "sports bully" and being able to do and buy anything they want and expect their cash cow (subscriber fees) to continue as they have in the past is not going to happen. As least the leadership at Disney and Wall Street recognizes that, even if the Stever does not.
stever20 wrote:here's the problem of the gloom and doom....
2011-
ESPN with 100 million subscribers. charged 4.69 per subscriber per month. so for the year 56.28 per subscriber. So 5.628 billion dollars in subscriber revenue.
2017
ESPN with 88 million subscribers. charging 7.21 per subscriber per month. so for the year 86.52 per subscriber. So 7.614 billion dollars in subscriber revenue.
So getting almost 2 billion more in subscriber revenue from 6 years ago.
stever20 wrote:the thing is, folks want to only focus on the number of subscribers, and fail to mention that the amount they get per subscriber has gone up at a far greater pace. So even though they lose 12 million subscribers, they get 2 billion more in revenue from just subscribers. And that's even before you take into account the ad revenues, which are considerable. ESPN still makes money. It's just that the profit margin has gone down.
Also, there are no new rights packages coming up for the next several years. So the rights fees will start to stabilize for ESPN. Will the amount per subscriber continue to increase?
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